Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams (D) defeated incumbent Mia Love (R) in the general election on November 6, 2018, to represent Utah's 4th Congressional District.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
Love was first elected to the district in 2014, succeeding Jim Matheson (D), who was the first representative elected from the district after its creation following the 2010 census. In the 2016 election, Love was re-elected by a margin of 13 percentage points while Donald Trump (R) carried the district by a margin of 7 percentage points.
Utah's 4th Congressional District, 2018
Poll | Poll sponsor | Ben McAdams | Mia Love | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The New York Times Upshot/Siena College (October 24-26, 2018) | N/A | 45% | 45% | 9% | +/-4.7 | 526 |
Dixie Strategies (October 25, 2018) | KUTV | 50% | 43% | 7% | +/-3.2 | 936 |
University of Utah Hinckley Institute of Politics (October 3-11, 2018) | The Salt Lake Tribune | 46% | 46% | 8% | +/-4.9 | 403 |
The Mellman Group (October 7-10, 2018) | The McAdams campaign | 47% | 46% | 7% | +/-4.9 | 400 |
Y2 Analytics (September 6-8, 2018) | The Love campaign | 42% | 51% | 7% | +/-4.9 | 405 |
AVERAGES | 46% | 46.2% | 7.6% | +/-4.52 | 534 |
Utah's 4th Congressional District, 2018
Poll | Poll sponsor | Ben McAdams | Mia Love | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates (August 22-September 6, 2018) | N/A | 46% | 49% | 5% | +/-4.9 | 400 |
The Mellman Group (August 20-23, 2018) | The McAdams campaign | 44% | 46% | 10% | +/-4.9 | 400 |
AVERAGES | 45% | 47.5% | 7.5% | +/-4.9 | 400 |
Utah's 4th Congressional District, 2018
Poll | Poll sponsor | Ben McAdams | Mia Love | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Salt Lake Tribune-Hinckley Institute of Politics (June 11-18, 2018) | N/A | 39% | 45% | 0% | +/-5.0 | 379 |
Dan Jones & Associates (May 15 - June 5, 2018) | N/A | 43% | 47% | 10% | +/-5.0 | 405 |
Dan Jones and Associates (February 9-21, 2018) | N/A | 43% | 49% | 8% | +/-4.9 | 404 |
Dan Jones and Associates (January 15-22, 2018) | N/A | 42% | 47% | 11% | +/-4.9 | 400 |
Dan Jones & Associates (October 9-18, 2017) | N/A | 42% | 48% | 9% | +/-4.89 | 402 |
AVERAGES | 41.8% | 47.2% | 7.6% | +/-4.94 | 398 |
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mia Love | Republican Party | $5,786,427 | $5,931,581 | $42,203 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Ben McAdams | Democratic Party | $3,384,890 | $3,306,518 | $78,372 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018.
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Utah from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Lieutenant Governor of Utah.
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Utah every four years from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Utah 2000-2016
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Donald Trump | 45.5% | Hillary Clinton | 27.5% | 18.0% |
2012 | Mitt Romney | 72.6% | Barack Obama | 24.7% | 47.9% |
2008 | John McCain | 62.2% | Barack Obama | 34.2% | 28.0% |
2004 | George W. Bush | 71.5% | John Kerry | 26.0% | 45.5% |
2000 | George W. Bush | 66.8% | Al Gore | 26.3% | 40.5% |
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Utah from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Utah 2000-2016
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Mike Lee | 68.2% | Misty Snow | 27.1% | 41.1% |
2012 | Orrin Hatch | 65.2% | Scott Howell | 30.2% | 35.0% |
2010 | Mike Lee | 61.6% | Sam Granato | 32.8% | 28.8% |
2006 | Orrin Hatch | 62.5% | Pete Ashdown | 31.1% | 31.4% |
2004 | Bob Bennett | 68.7% | Paul Van Dam | 28.4% | 40.3% |
2000 | Orrin Hatch | 65.6% | Scott Howell | 31.5% | 34.1% |
This chart shows the results of the six gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Utah. Included in the table are the results of the 2010 special election called to fill the seat of former Gov. Jon Huntsman (R), who had resigned to serve as U.S. Ambassador to China.
Election results (Governor), Utah 2000-2016
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Gary Herbert | 66.7% | Mike Weinholtz | 28.7% | 38.0% |
2012 | Gary Herbert | 68.4% | Peter Cooke | 27.7% | 40.7% |
2010 | Gary Herbert | 64.1% | Peter Corroon | 31.9% | 32.2% |
2008 | Jon Huntsman | 77.6% | Bob Springmeyer | 19.7% | 57.9% |
2004 | Jon Huntsman | 57.7% | Scott Matheson | 41.4% | 16.3% |
2000 | Mike Leavitt | 55.8% | Bill Orton | 42.7% | 13.1% |
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Utah in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Congressional delegation, Utah 2000-2016
Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | 4 | 100% | 0 | 0% | R+4 |
2014 | 4 | 100% | 0 | 0% | R+4 |
2012 | 3 | 75% | 1 | 25% | R+2 |
2010 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.3% | R+1 |
2008 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.3% | R+1 |
2006 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.3% | R+1 |
2004 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.3% | R+1 |
2002 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.3% | R+1 |
2000 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.3% | R+1 |
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Utah Party Control: 1992-2019
No Democratic trifectas • 28 years of Republican trifectas
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographic data for Utah
Utah | U.S. | |
---|---|---|
Total population: | 2,990,632 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 82,170 | 3,531,905 |
Gender | ||
Female: | 49.7% | 50.8% |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 87.6% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 1.1% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 2.2% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 1.1% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.6% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 13.4% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 91.2% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 31.1% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $60,727 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 12.7% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Utah. |
As of July 2017, Utah had a population of approximately 3,100,000 people, with its three largest cities being Salt Lake City (pop. est. 190,000), West Valley City (pop. est. 140,000), and Provo (pop. est. 120,000).