Businessman Kevin Stitt (R) defeated former state Attorney General Drew Edmondson (D) and Chris Powell in the general election on November 6, 2018, for governor of Oklahoma.
Incumbent Mary Fallin (R) was term-limited, leaving the seat open. Republican candidates have won five of the past ten gubernatorial elections in Oklahoma, while no Democratic presidential nominee has carried the state since Lyndon B. Johnson (D) in 1964. As of November 2018, two election forecasting outlets rated this race Leans Republican and a third rated it a Toss-up. In an overview of gubernatorial races following the conclusion of primaries, Governing indicated that it had shifted its prediction from Likely Republican to Lean Republican owing to the results of the primary: "Stitt is a relative unknown and is polling about even with Edmondson, who is a more familiar name."
Stitt's victory preserved the state's Republican trifecta. At the time of the election, Oklahoma had been a Republican trifecta since 2011, when Gov. Mary Fallin (R) took office. The winner of this election stood to influence the state's redistricting process following the 2020 census. Under Oklahoma state law, the state legislature is responsible for drawing both congressional and state legislative district boundaries, which the governor may veto. In the event that the legislature cannot approve a plan for state legislative district boundaries, the governor is responsible for appointing two members—one Democrat and one Republican—to the seven-member backup panel which draws state legislative districts.
Oklahoma was one of 36 states that held an election for governor in 2018. Democrats gained seven previously Republican-held seats, and Republicans gained one previously independent-held seat. Heading into the 2018 elections, there were 16 Democratic governors, 33 Republican governors, and one independent governor. In 2018, 26 of the 33 states with a Republican governor held a gubernatorial election, while nine out of the 16 states with a Democratic governor held a gubernatorial election. Seventeen of the 36 seats up for election were open seats (four Democratic, 12 Republican, and one independent), meaning that the sitting governor was not seeking re-election.
Governor of Oklahoma, 2018
Poll | Poll sponsor | Drew Edmondson (D) | Kevin Stitt (R) | Chris Powell (L) | Undecided/Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll (October 31 - November 3, 2018) | N/A | 44% | 47% | 3% | 6% | +/-5.3 | 338 |
SoonerPoll (October 23-25, 2018) | News9/Newson6 | 42% | 46% | 4% | 8% | +/-4.6 | 447 |
Magellan Strategies (October 22-23, 2018) | N/A | 44% | 51% | 1% | 4% | +/-4.4 | 500 |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass and Associates | N/A | 40% | 46% | 4% | 10% | +/-4.3 | 500 |
The Right Strategy Group (September 25-26, 2018) | N/A | 43% | 47% | 2% | 8% | +/-3.0 | 1,058 |
Governor of Oklahoma, 2018
Poll | Poll sponsor | Drew Edmondson (D) | Kevin Stitt (R) | Chris Powell (L) | Undecided/Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll (September 5-10, 2018) | News9/Newson6 | 44% | 47% | 3% | 6% | +/-4.9 | 407 |
The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage. Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.
Race ratings: Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2018
Race tracker | Race ratings | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
November 5, 2018 | October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | |
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Lean Republican | Lean Republican |
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican |
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican |
Governor of Oklahoma, 2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mary Fallin Incumbent | 55.8% | 460,298 | |
Democratic | Joe Dorman | 41% | 338,239 | |
Independent | Kimberly Willis | 2.1% | 17,169 | |
Independent | Richard Prawdzienski | 1.1% | 9,125 | |
Total Votes | 824,831 | |||
Election results via Oklahoma State Election Board |
On November 2, 2010, Mary Fallin won election to the office of Governor of Oklahoma. She defeated Jari Askins in the general election.
Governor of Oklahoma, 2010
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mary Fallin | 60.4% | 625,506 | |
Democratic | Jari Askins | 39.6% | 409,261 | |
Total Votes | 1,034,767 | |||
Election results via Oklahoma State Election Board. |
On November 7, 2006, Brad Henry won re-election to the office of Governor of Oklahoma. He defeated Ernest Istook in the general election.
Governor of Oklahoma, 2006
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brad Henry Incumbent | 66.5% | 616,135 | |
Republican | Ernest Istook | 33.5% | 310,327 | |
Total Votes | 926,462 | |||
Election results via Oklahoma State Election Board. |
On November 5, 2002, Brad Henry won election to the office of Governor of Oklahoma. He defeated Steve Largent and Gary Richardson in the general election.
Governor of Oklahoma, 2002
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brad Henry | 43.3% | 448,143 | |
Republican | Steve Largent | 42.6% | 441,277 | |
Independent | Gary Richardson | 14.1% | 146,200 | |
Total Votes | 1,035,620 | |||
Election results via Oklahoma State Board of Elections. |
Demographic data for Oklahoma
Oklahoma | U.S. | |
---|---|---|
Total population: | 3,907,414 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 68,595 | 3,531,905 |
Gender | ||
Female: | 50.5% | 50.8% |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 73.1% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 7.2% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 1.9% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 7.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 7.8% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 9.6% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 86.9% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 24.1% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $46,879 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 19.7% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Oklahoma. |
As of July 2016, Oklahoma' three largest cities were Oklahoma City (pop. est. 643,648), Tulsa (pop. est. 401,800), and Norman (pop. est. 122,843).