Businessman J.B. Pritzker (D) defeated incumbent Bruce Rauner (R), Grayson "Kash" Jackson (L), and William "Sam" McCann (Conservative) in the November 6, 2018, general election for Governor of Illinois.
Between Election Day 2014 and Election Day 2018, Pritzker contributed $171.5 million to his own campaign while Rauner contributed $67.8 million to his run. Rauner was first elected in 2014 by a margin of 4 percentage points. Of the ten preceding gubernatorial elections, a Republican candidate won seven—including Rauner's victory in 2014—and a Democratic candidate won three. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) carried the state by 17 percentage points.
Illinois Governor 2018
Poll | Poll sponsor | J.B. Pritzker (D) | Bruce Rauner (R) | Kash Jackson (L) | Sam McCann (C) | Undecided/Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research (November 1-3, 2018) | N/A | 49% | 33% | 5% | 8% | 6% | +/---- | 1,208 |
Ipsos (September 27 - October 5, 2018) | Thomson Reuters/University of Virginia | 50% | 30% | 3% | 6% | 12% | +/-3.6 | 968 |
Victory Research (September 27 - October 2, 2018) | N/A | 47% | 32% | 6% | 7% | 8% | +/-2.8 | 1,208 |
Simon Institute (September 24-29, 2018) | N/A | 49% | 27% | 4% | 4% | 17% | +/-3.7 | 715 |
Anzalone Lizst Grove Research | Forward Illinois | 48% | 32% | 3% | 4% | 13% | +/-3.1 | 1,007 |
Illinois Governor 2018
Poll | Poll sponsor | J.B. Pritzker (D) | Bruce Rauner (R) | Kash Jackson (L) | Sam McCann (C) | Undecided/Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research America (September 5-13, 2018) | Illinois Broadcasters Association | 44% | 27% | 4% | 6% | 18% | +/-3.1 | 1,024 |
Marist College (August 12-16, 2018) | NBC News | 46% | 30% | 6% | 4% | 15% | +/-4.4 | 734 |
Illinois Public Opinion, Inc. (July 12, 2018) | N/A | 39% | 26% | 1% | 10% | 23% | +/-5.0 | 423 |
University of Illinois/Illinois Public Radio (July 3 - August 15, 2018) | N/A | 35% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 42% | +/-3.7 | 717 |
We Ask America (June 9-11, 2018) | Capitol Fax | 36% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 37% | +/-4.0 | 600 |
Ogden & Fry (March 23, 2018) | N/A | 46% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 26% | +/-3.87 | 667 |
Illinois Governor 2018 (no margin of error information) | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | J.B. Pritzker (D) | Bruce Rauner (R) | Undecided/Other | Sample size | ||||||||||
Victory Research (April 2018) | 49% | 31% | 19% | 1,208 |
Illinois Governor 2018 (Pritzker vs. Rauner hypothetical matchup) | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | J.B. Pritzker (D) | Bruce Rauner (R) | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||
Southern Illinois University (February 19-25, 2018) | 50% | 35% | 15% | +/-3.0 | 1,001 |
Illinois Governor 2018 (Biss vs. Rauner hypothetical matchup) | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Daniel Biss (D) | Bruce Rauner (R) | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||
Southern Illinois University (February 19-25, 2018) | 48% | 34% | 18% | +/-3.0 | 1,001 |
The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage. Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.
Race ratings: Illinois gubernatorial election, 2018
Race tracker | Race ratings | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
November 5, 2018 | October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | |
The Cook Political Report | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic |
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic |
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic |
In the 2014 gubernatorial election, incumbent Pat Quinn (D) was defeated by Bruce Rauner (R).
Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Illinois, 2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bruce Rauner/Evelyn Sanguinetti | 50.3% | 1,823,627 | |
Democratic | Pat Quinn/Paul Vallas Incumbent | 46.3% | 1,681,343 | |
Libertarian | Chad Grimm/Alex Cummings | 3.4% | 121,534 | |
Nonpartisan | Write-in votes | 0% | 1,186 | |
Total Votes | 3,627,690 | |||
Election results via Illinois State Board of Elections |
In the 2010 gubernatorial election, incumbent Pat Quinn (D) defeated Bill Brady (R).
Governor and Lt. Governor of Illinois, 2010
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Pat Quinn & Sheila Simon Incumbent | 46.8% | 1,745,219 | |
Republican | Bill Brady & Jason Plummer | 45.9% | 1,713,385 | |
Independent | Scott Lee Cohen & Baxter Swilley | 3.6% | 135,705 | |
Green | Rich Whitney & Don Crawford | 2.7% | 100,756 | |
Libertarian | Lex Green & Ed Ruthledge | 0.9% | 34,681 | |
None | Write-in | 0% | 243 | |
Total Votes | 3,729,989 |
Demographic data for Illinois
Illinois | U.S. | |
---|---|---|
Total population: | 12,839,047 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 55,519 | 3,531,905 |
Gender | ||
Female: | 50.9% | 50.8% |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 72.3% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 14.3% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 5% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.2% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 16.5% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 87.9% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 32.3% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $57,574 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 16.8% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Illinois. |
As of July 2016, Illinois' three largest cities were Chicago (pop. est. 2.7 million), Aurora (pop. est. 200,000), and Joliet (pop. est. 150,000).