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Colorado, Governor/Lieutenant Governor

Rep. Jared Polis (D) defeated state Treasurer Walker Stapleton (R), Bill Hammons (Unity), and Scott Helker (L) in the general election on November 6, 2018, for governor of Colorado.

Incumbent Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) was prevented by term limits from seeking a third term, leaving the seat open. Of the ten preceding gubernatorial elections, a Democratic candidate won eight—including Hickenlooper's victories in 2010 and 2014—and a Republican candidate won two. Hillary Clinton (D) carried the state in 2016 by a margin of 5 percentage points. As of November 2018, three race rating outlets rated the race Leans Democratic.

Polis' victory, alongside Democrats gaining a majority in the state senate, created a Democratic trifecta in Colorado. At the time of the 2018 election, Colorado had been under divided government since Democrats lost their state senate majority in the 2014 elections.

As a result of the 2018 elections, Democrats gained a triplex (control of the governorship, attorney general office, and secretary of state office) in Colorado. The attorney general and secretary of state offices had been held by Republicans in 2018.

The winner of this election stood to influence the state's redistricting process following the 2020 census. Under Colorado state law, the governor has the power to veto congressional district proposals put forward by the state legislature. The governor is also responsible for appointing three of the 11 commissioners to the board responsible for drawing state legislative districts.

Colorado was one of 36 states that held an election for governor in 2018. Democrats gained seven previously Republican-held seats, and Republicans gained one previously independent-held seat. Heading into the 2018 elections, there were 16 Democratic governors, 33 Republican governors, and one independent governor. In 2018, 26 of the 33 states with a Republican governor held a gubernatorial election, while nine out of the 16 states with a Democratic governor held a gubernatorial election. Seventeen of the 36 seats up for election were open seats (four Democratic, 12 Republican, and one independent), meaning that the sitting governor was not seeking re-election.

Polls

Colorado Governor 2018 (no margin of error information provided)
Poll Poll sponsor Jared Polis (D) Walker Stapleton (R)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Magellan Strategies
(October 29-30, 2018)
Undisclosed 45%40%15%+/-4.4500
Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs, and Martin Campaigns
(October 25-30, 2018)
N/A 50%42%9%+/-4.3517
University of Colorado-Boulder
(October 12-17, 2018)
N/A 54%42%5%+/-3.5800
Magellan Strategies
(October 8-10, 2018)
Undisclosed 47%40%13%+/-4.4500
Keating Research and Magellan Strategies
(September 18-20, 2018)
Healthier Colorado 47%40%12%+/-4.0600
Colorado Governor 2018 (no margin of error information provided)
Poll Poll sponsor Jared Polis (D) Walker Stapleton (R)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
SSRS
(August 15 - September 19, 2018)
Kaiser Family Foundation/Colorado Health Foundation 44%33%24%+/-
1,585
Public Policy Polling
(June 27-28, 2018)
Democratic Party of Colorado 46%38%16%+/-
608

Colorado Governor 2018, Kennedy vs. Stapleton hypothetical matchup

Poll Poll sponsor Cary Kennedy Walker StapletonUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Strategies 360
(May 29 - June 6, 2018)
Service Employees International Union 43%38%19%+/-4.4500

Colorado Governor 2018, Polis vs. Stapleton hypothetical matchup

Poll Poll sponsor Jared Polis Walker StapletonUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Strategies 360
(May 29 - June 6, 2018)
Service Employees International Union 42%37%21%+/-4.4500

Colorado Governor 2018, Kennedy vs. Tancredo hypothetical matchup

Poll Cary Kennedy Tom TancredoUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Public Policy Polling
(December 4-5, 2017)
45%38%17%+/-3.5770
Keating Research
(November 9-13, 2017)
50%34%16%+/-4.4500
AVERAGES 47.5% 36% 16.5% +/-3.95 635

Colorado Governor 2018, Polis vs. Tancredo hypothetical matchup

Poll Jared Polis Tom TancredoUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Public Policy Polling
(December 4-5, 2017)
46%38%16%+/-3.5770

Colorado Governor 2018, Johnston vs. Tancredo hypothetical matchup

Poll Michael Johnston Tom TancredoUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Public Policy Polling
(December 4-5, 2017)
43%39%18%+/-3.5770

Colorado Governor 2018, Lynne vs. Tancredo hypothetical matchup

Poll Donna Lynne Tom TancredoUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Public Policy Polling
(December 4-5, 2017)
43%38%19%+/-3.5770

Race ratings

The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage. Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.

Race ratings: Colorado gubernatorial election, 2018

Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2018October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018
The Cook Political ReportLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic

Election history

2014

Incumbent Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) faced three candidates in his re-election bid in 2014. Hickenlooper was challenged by Republican Bob Beauprez, Libertarian Party candidate Matthew Hess and Green Party candidate Harry Hempy. The general election took place on November 4, 2014.

Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Colorado, 2014

Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Hickenlooper/Joseph Garcia Incumbent 49.3% 1,006,433
Republican Bob Beauprez/Jill Rapella 46% 938,195
Libertarian Matthew Hess/Brandon Young 1.9% 39,590
Green Harry Hempy/Scott Olson 1.3% 27,391
Unaffiliated Mike Dunafon/Robin Roberts 1.2% 24,042
Unaffiliated Paul Fiorino/Charles Whitley 0.3% 5,923
Total Votes 2,041,574
Election results via Colorado Secretary of State

2010

On November 2, 2010, John Hickenlooper won election to the office of Governor of Colorado. He defeated Tom Tancredo (ACP), Dan Maes (R), Jaimes Brown (L), Jason Clark (I) and Paul Fiorino (I) in the general election.

Governor of Colorado, 2010

Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Hickenlooper 51% 912,005
American Constitution Party Tom Tancredo 36.5% 651,232
Republican Dan Maes 11.1% 199,034
Libertarian Jaimes Brown 0.7% 12,314
Independent Jason Clark 0.5% 8,576
Independent Paul Fiorino 0.2% 3,483
Total Votes 1,786,644
Election results via The New York Times.

2006

On November 7, 2006, Bill Ritter won election to the office of Governor of Colorado. He defeated Bob Beauprez (R), Dawn Winkler (L), Paul Fiorino (I), Clyde Harkins (C) and Charles "Chuck" Sylvester (Write-in) in the general election.

Governor of Colorado, 2006

Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBill Ritter 57% 888,095
Republican Bob Beauprez 40.2% 625,886
Libertarian Dawn Winkler 1.5% 23,323
Independent Paul Fiorino 0.7% 10,996
Constitution Clyde Harkins 0.6% 9,716
Write-in Charles "Chuck" Sylvester 0% 389
Total Votes 1,558,405
Election results via Connecticut Secretary of State.

2002

On November 5, 2002, Bill Owens won re-election to the office of Governor of Colorado. He defeated Rollie Heath (D), Ronald Forthofer (G) and Ralph Shnelvar (L) in the general election.

Governor of Colorado, 2002

Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBill Owens Incumbent 62.6% 884,583
Democratic Rollie Heath 33.7% 475,373
Green Ronald Forthofer 2.3% 32,099
Libertarian Ralph Shnelvar 1.5% 20,547
Total Votes 1,412,602
Election results via Connecticut Secretary of State.

Demographics

Demographic data for Colorado

ColoradoU.S.
Total population:5,448,819316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):103,6423,531,905
Gender
Female:49.8%50.8%
Race and ethnicity**
White:84.2%73.6%
Black/African American:4%12.6%
Asian:2.9%5.1%
Native American:0.9%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0.1%0.2%
Two or more:3.5%3%
Hispanic/Latino:21.1%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:90.7%86.7%
College graduation rate:38.1%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$60,629$53,889
Persons below poverty level:13.5%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Colorado.

As of July 2017, Colorado had a population of approximately 5.6 million people, and its two largest cities were Denver (pop. est. 719,000) and Colorado Springs (pop. est. 484,000).