Former state Sen. Mike Dunleavy (R) defeated former U.S. Sen. Mark Begich (D) and Libertarian William Toien in the November 6, 2018, general election for governor of Alaska.
Alaska remained under divided government following the election, meaning no one party controlled the governorship, state Senate, and state House. While a Republican was elected governor and the GOP maintained numerical majorities in both chambers of the state legislature, a coalition of Democrats, independents, and Republicans in the state House split control of the chamber. Read more here.
Gov. Bill Walker (I) suspended his re-election campaign on October 19, 2018, saying in a statement, "In the time remaining, I believe we cannot win a three-way race." Walker's original running mate, Lt. Gov. Byron Mallott (D), resigned from his position on October 16, 2018, and was succeeded by Valerie Nurr'araaluk Davidson (I). After suspending his re-election campaign, Walker endorsed Begich.
Walker initially intended to run for re-election as a Democrat, but Begich announced he would run for the nomination shortly before the June 1 filing deadline. Dunleavy secured the GOP gubernatorial nomination on August 21.
Walker and Mallott still appeared on the state's general election ballot.
Alaska was one of 36 states that held an election for governor in 2018. Democrats gained seven previously Republican-held seats, and Republicans gained one previously independent-held seat. Heading into the 2018 elections, there were 16 Democratic governors, 33 Republican governors, and one independent governor. In 2018, 26 of the 33 states with a Republican governor held a gubernatorial election, while nine out of the 16 states with a Democratic governor held a gubernatorial election. Seventeen of the 36 seats up for election were open seats (four Democratic, 12 Republican, and one independent), meaning that the sitting governor was not seeking re-election.
for more information on the Democratic gubernatorial primary and here for more information on the lieutenant gubernatorial primary.
for more information on the Republican gubernatorial primary and here for more information on the lieutenant gubernatorial primary.
Polls conducted after Walker's exit from the race (Walker still appeared on the ballot):
Alaska gubernatorial election, Begich (D) v. Dunleavy (R) v. Walker v. Toien
Poll | Poll sponsor | Mark Begich (D) | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Bill Walker (I) | William Toien (L) | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research October 26-29, 2018 | N/A | 42% | 43% | 8% | 3% | 4% | +/-4.4 | 500 |
Alaska gubernatorial election, Begich (D) v. Dunleavy (R) v. Walker
Poll | Poll sponsor | Mark Begich (D) | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Bill Walker (I) | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research October 19-22, 2018 | N/A | 44% | 48% | 5% | 3% | +/-4.4 | 500 |
Polls conducted before Walker's exit from the race:
Alaska gubernatorial election, Begich (D) v. Dunleavy (R) v. Walker (I)
Poll | Poll sponsor | Mark Begich (D) | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Bill Walker (I) | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research October 12-14, 2018 | N/A | 26% | 43% | 27% | 4% | +/-4.4 | 500 |
Public Policy Polling October 11-12, 2018 | Tech Solidarity | 23% | 43% | 24% | 9% | +/--- | 645 |
Alaska Survey Research October 1-6, 2018 | N/A | 23% | 47% | 27% | 4% | +/-4.4 | 500 |
Alaska Survey Research September 21-25, 2018 | N/A | 29% | 44% | 23% | 4% | +/-4.4 | 500 |
AVERAGES | 25.25% | 44.25% | 25.25% | 5.25% | +/-3.3 | 536.25 |
Alaska gubernatorial general election, 2018 (hypothetical match-up)
Poll | Poll sponsor | Mark Begich (D) | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Bill Walker (I) | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patinkin Research June 22-28, 2018 | Walker campaign | 22% | 36% | 28% | 15% | +/-3.4 | 800 |
Alaska Survey Research June 15-21, 2018 | N/A | 33% | 38% | 23% | 6% | +/-3.8 | 654 |
AVERAGES | 27.5% | 37% | 25.5% | 10.5% | +/-3.6 | 727 |
Alaska gubernatorial general election, 2018 (hypothetical match-up)
Poll | Walker (I) | Dunleavy (R) | Unsure or someone else | Margin of error | Sample size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dittman Research February 26-March 4, 2018 | 41% | 47% | 12% | +/-3.4 | 800 likely voters |
Race ratings: Alaska gubernatorial election, 2018
Race tracker | Race ratings | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
November 5, 2018 | October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | |
The Cook Political Report | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican |
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican |
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Likely Republican |
In the 2014 gubernatorial election, the independent Democratic Party-endorsed ticket of Bill Walker and Byron Mallott defeated incumbents Sean Parnell (R) and Dan Sullivan (R).
Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Alaska, 2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Independent | Bill Walker/Byron Mallott | 48.1% | 134,658 | |
Republican | Sean Parnell/Dan Sullivan Incumbent | 45.9% | 128,435 | |
Libertarian | Carolyn "Care" Clift/Andrew C. Lee | 3.2% | 8,985 | |
Constitution | J.R. Myers/Maria Rensel | 2.5% | 6,987 | |
Nonpartisan | Write-in votes | 0.3% | 893 | |
Total Votes | 279,958 | |||
Election results via Alaska Division of Elections |
On November 2, 2010, Sean Parnell/Mead Treadwell won election to the office of Governor/Lt. Governor of Alaska. They defeated Ethan Berkowitz/Diane Benson (D), William Toien/Jeffrey Brown (L) and Donald R. Wright (I) in the general election.
Governor/Lt. Governor of Alaska, 2010
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sean Parnell/Mead Treadwell Incumbent | 59.1% | 151,318 | |
Democratic | Ethan Berkowitz/Diane Benson | 37.7% | 96,519 | |
Libertarian | William Toien/Jeffrey Brown | 1% | 2,682 | |
Alaskan Independence | Wright/Donald R. | 1.9% | 4,775 | |
Write-in | N/A | 0.4% | 898 | |
Total Votes | 256,192 | |||
Election results via State of Alaska Division of Elections. |
On November 7, 2006, Sarah Palin/Sean Parnell won election to the office of Governor/Lt. Governor of Alaska. They defeated Tony Knowles/Ethan Berkowitz (D), Andrew Halcro/Fay Von Gemmingen (I), Don Wright/Douglas Welton (AI), William Toien/Robert Mirabal (Lib) and David M. Massie (Green) in the general election.
Governor/Lt. Governor of Alaska, 2006
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sarah Palin/Sean Parnell | 48.4% | 114,697 | |
Democratic | Tony Knowles/Ethan Berkowitz | 41% | 97,238 | |
Independent | Andrew Halcro/Fay Von Gemmingen | 9.5% | 22,443 | |
Alaskan Independence | Don Wright/Douglas Welton | 0.5% | 1,285 | |
Libertarian | William Toien/Robert Mirabal | 0.3% | 682 | |
Green | Massie, David M. | 0.3% | 593 | |
Total Votes | 236,938 | |||
Election results via State of Alaska Division of Elections. |
On November 5, 2002, Frank Murkowski/Loren Leman won re-election to the office of Governor/Lt. Governor of Alaska. They defeated Fran Ulmer/Ernie Hall (D), Diane Benson/Coburn (Green), Don Wright/DeNardo (AI), Raymond Vinzant/Mendias (MOD) and William Toien/Anders (Lib) in the general election.
Governor/Lt. Governor of Alaska, 2002
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Frank Murkowski/Loren Leman | 55.8% | 129,279 | |
Democratic | Ulmer/Hall | 40.7% | 94,216 | |
Green | Diane Benson/Coburn | 1.3% | 2,926 | |
Alaskan Independence | Don Wright/DeNardo | 0.9% | 2,185 | |
Moderate | Raymond Vinzant/Medias | 0.7% | 1,506 | |
Libertarian | William Toien/Anders | 0.5% | 1,106 | |
Write-in | N/A | 0.1% | 263 | |
Total Votes | 231,481 | |||
Election results via State of Alaska Division of Elections. |
Demographic data for Alaska
Alaska | U.S. | |
---|---|---|
Total population: | 737,709 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 570,641 | 3,531,905 |
Gender | ||
Female: | 47.6% | 50.8% |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 66% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 3.4% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 5.9% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 13.8% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 8.4% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 6.5% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 92.1% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 28% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $72,515 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 11.3% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Alaska. |
As of July 2016, Alaska's three largest cities were Anchorage (pop. est. 294,000), Juneau (pop. est. 32,000), and Fairbanks (pop. est. 32,000).